More international trade in goods in the first half of 2025 despite geopolitical tensions

In the first half of 2025, the Dutch international trade in goods grew slightly compared to the same period in 2024. According to figures from Statistics Netherlands (CBS), export value rose by 1.9 percent and import value by 2.0 percent. Both re-exports and exports of Dutch-made products contributed to this growth, despite monthly fluctuations.

Trade with Germany and the United States increased notably. Exports to Germany rose thanks to higher shipments of food products, manufactures, and chemical goods. Exports to the US grew by almost 11 percent, mainly driven by specialized machinery, pharmaceuticals, and medical products. Imports from China were 5 percent higher, especially due to greater imports of electrical appliances, laptops, and toys.

Development in import and export value with top 5 trade partners

Q1 2025*, % development toward a year earlier

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At the same time, global trade remains under pressure from geopolitical tensions, including US import tariffs on Chinese goods. These developments are shifting global supply chains, as Chinese producers seek new markets, intensifying worldwide competition.

Trade in mineral fuels, however, declined sharply—imports fell by 11 percent and exports by 15 percent. In contrast, trade in food and live animals increased significantly: imports rose by 19 percent and exports by 13 percent.

While trade with neighboring countries such as Belgium, France, and the United Kingdom decreased, growing exports to Germany and the US offer opportunities for Dutch businesses. Companies in the food, pharmaceutical, and machinery sectors stand to benefit the most. At the same time, the changing global landscape demands greater flexibility, market insight, and adaptability from international entrepreneurs.

To achieve sustainable international growth, businesses should focus not only on trade volumes but also on direction and dynamics within global supply chains.

Sources: CBS, ING
Photo: Shutterstock

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